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유럽 ​​주택용 태양광(Residential Solar) 시장 : 2027년까지 예측

출판:Daedal Research 출판년월:2022년12월

유럽 ​​주택용 태양광 시장: 누적 설치, 누적 용량, 지역 규모별 분석 – 2027년까지 예측
European Residential Solar Market: Analysis By Accumulated Installation, By Accumulated Capacity, By Region Size and Trends with Impact of COVID-19 and Forecast up to 2027

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The European residential solar market, in terms of accumulated capacity, in 2021 stood at 40.40GW, and is likely to reach 71.75GW by 2027. A residential solar PV system is any solar PV system that produces less power than or equal to 250kW. A typical 65 by 39-inch residential solar panel installation contains 72 cells.
유럽 ​​주택용 태양광 시장은 누적 용량 기준으로 2021년 40.40GW, 2027년에는 71.75GW에 달할 것으로 예상된다. 주택용 태양광 발전 시스템은 250kW 이하의 전력을 생산하는 모든 태양광 발전 시스템이다. 일반적인 65 x 39인치 주거용 태양광 패널 설치에는 72개의 셀이 포함됩니다.
 

The use of non-renewable fuels and other types of energy resources is posing major dangers to the ecosystem, making solar power more important than ever. The use of solar energy has increased dramatically in recent years in both developed and developing countries. Solar energy is currently one of the most affordable and widely available renewable energy sources for European households. By 2040, it may be able to supply up to 20% of the EU’s electricity needs based on current market trends. The expansion of residential solar energy installations is a crucial step in the transition to clean energy and climate neutrality. The European residential solar market, on the basis of accumulated capacity, is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 9.60% over the projected period of 2022-2027.

Market Segmentation Analysis:

By Accumulated Installation: On the basis of accumulated installation, the European residential solar market can be divided into five major regions: Germany, Netherlands, Italy, Spain, and Rest of Europe. Germany is the largest solar market in Europe as well as the largest solar PV operator in 2021, owing to the German government’s implementation of a subsidy for residential installations of solar PV panels with battery storage in 2016.

By Accumulated Capacity: The European residential solar market can be divided into nine primary regions based on accumulated capacity: Germany, Netherlands, Italy, Poland, Belgium, the UK, Sweden, Spain, and the Rest of Europe. Due to the removal of the Sun tax on self-consumption in 2020, automated excess recompense, as well as collective and through-the-network facilities, the Spanish residential solar market is believed to be the fastest growing market. Since then, the market for final consumers has steadily gained traction.

European Residential Solar Market Dynamics:

Growth Drivers: As a result of a large drop in price, solar energy is becoming economically viable at smaller scales and at more locations. People in Europe are spending more on the installation of solar power systems as the cost of solar energy continues to decline. Further, the market is expected to grow owing to surging demand for electrification in society, higher and more volatile electricity prices, increased support from government, etc. in recent years.

Challenges: The European residential solar market’s supply chain has become more clogged, with inefficiencies in hardware delivery. Many countries have experienced a labor shortage in recent years, owing to mismatches between supply and demand. As a result, customers’ residential solar power systems appear to take longer to install after they are ordered. Hence, the residential solar market in Europe has faced long-term value chain disruption.

Market Trends: The payback period for residential solar has decreased, even though this varies greatly from country to country due to various sun conditions and deployment rules. The alternative cost of using the grid instead of installing residential solar is also decreasing as a result of positive market dynamics in the Europe. Despite major differences, all countries’ payback periods are far less than the solar panels’ 30+ year anticipated lifetime. Therefore, short payback time for residential solar in Europe is likely to upgrow the overall market, in coming years. More trends in the market are believed to grow the residential solar market during the forecasted period, which may include use of artificial intelligence, European solar rooftops initiative, national energy and climate plans (NECPs), etc.

Impact Analysis of COVID-19 and Way Forward:

The COVID-19 brought in many changes in the world, problems with cash flow, recovering payments from distributors, working capital needs, labor shortages, and mostly supply chain interruptions, caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, resulted in the downfall in demand for residential solar products and services, which eventually had a negative impact on its market growth in initial phase, however the demand for solar systems increased as most of the European countries focused on renewable energy sector for recovery from COVID impact on economy. Despite challenging market conditions on a number of fronts, including the ongoing detrimental effects of COVID-19 on residential solar PV product supply constraints and ensuing solar module price increases, residential solar power in Europe once again shown a stellar performance in 2021 and is expected to perform even better in the post COVID era.

Competitive Landscape and Recent Developments:

A large number of installation businesses make up the highly fragmented residential solar market in Europe, owing to the availability of local, regional, and multinational suppliers. While some smaller businesses specialize in selling solar panels and are only present in one or a few places, larger businesses often offer a wider range of products, have a larger geographic presence, and strive for continued expansion. In the residential solar sector, where businesses sell or lease products with lengthy lifetimes, scalability and the capacity to rapidly increase market share are key determinants. Moreover, some of the major drivers that can propel the industry’s growth are fierce rivalry, rapid technology advancements, frequent changes in governmental policy, and tight environmental laws. Cost, product quality, dependability, and aftermarket support are all domains where vendors compete. In a highly competitive market environment, providers must offer affordable and effective products to thrive.

Further, key players in the European residential solar market are:

Otovo ASA
Columbus Energy SA
Zonneplan
Enpal GmbH
SolarNRG
Engie SA (Sungevity Europe)
AutoBinck Group (Zelfstroom)
Koolen Industries (BonGo Solar)
Svea Solar
Zolar Gmbh
DZ-4 GmbH
Victron Energy
Hanwha Group (Hanwha Qcells)
Luxor Solar GmbH

After a decade of inactivity, European solar manufacturing has resurfaced. With investment budgeted, factories planned, environmental targets established, and governmental strategies outlined to support the predicted expansion of PV systems, ambitious measures are in place to restart a thriving industry. For example, In October 2021, Meyer Burger Technology AG, a Switzerland-based solar module maker, unveiled a building-integrated PV (BIPV) project regarding solar roof tiles. The new product was designed by a German engineering company paXos Consulting & Engineering GmbH & Co. KG and sold the patent to Meyer Burger.


목차

1. Executive Summary

2. Introduction

2.1 Residential Solar: An Overview

2.1.1 Definition of Residential Solar
2.1.2 Essential Elements of Residential Solar System
2.1.3 Components of Residential Solar System

3. European Market Analysis

3.1 European Solar PV Market: An Analysis

3.1.1 European Solar PV Market: An Overview
3.1.2 European Solar PV Market by Accumulated Capacity
3.1.3 European Solar PV Market by Solar Capacity Per Capita
3.1.4 EU Countries Solar PV Market by Penetration
3.1.5 European Solar PV Market Accumulated Capacity by Segment

3.2 European Residential Solar Market: An Analysis

3.2.1 European Residential Solar Market: An Overview
3.2.2 European Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation
3.2.3 European Residential Solar Market Accumulated Installation by Region (Germany, Netherlands, Italy, Spain, and Rest of Europe)
3.2.4 European Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity
3.2.5 European Residential Solar Market Accumulated Capacity by Region (Germany, the Netherlands, Italy, Poland, Belgium, the UK, Sweden, Spain, and the rest of Europe)

4. European Regional Market Analysis

4.1 Germany Residential Solar Market: An Analysis

4.1.1 Germany Residential Solar Market: An Overview
4.1.2 Germany Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation
4.1.3 Germany Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity

4.2 Netherlands Residential Solar Market: An Analysis

4.2.1 Netherlands Residential Solar Market: An Overview
4.2.2 Netherlands Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation
4.2.3 Netherlands Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity

4.3 Poland Residential Solar Market: An Analysis

4.3.1 Poland Residential Solar Market: An Overview
4.3.2 Poland Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation
4.3.3 Poland Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity

4.4 Spain Residential Solar Market: An Analysis

4.4.1 Spain Residential Solar Market: An Overview
4.4.2 Spain Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation
4.4.3 Spain Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity

4.5 Italy Residential Solar Market: An Analysis

4.5.1 Italy Residential Solar Market: An Overview
4.5.2 Italy Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity

4.6 UK Residential Solar Market: An Analysis

4.6.1 UK Residential Solar Market: An Overview
4.6.2 UK Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity

4.7 Belgium Residential Solar Market: An Analysis

4.7.1 Belgium Residential Solar Market: An Overview
4.7.2 Belgium Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity

4.8 Sweden Residential Solar Market: An Analysis

4.8.1 Sweden Residential Solar Market: An Overview
4.8.2 Sweden Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity

4.9 Rest of Europe Residential Solar Market: An Analysis

4.9.1 Rest of Europe Residential Solar Market: An Overview
4.9.2 Rest of Europe Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation
4.9.3 Rest of Europe Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity

5. Impact of COVID

5.1 Impact of COVID-19 on European Solar Market
5.2 Impact of COVID-19 on European Residential Solar Market
5.3 post-COVID-19 Impact on European Residential Solar Market

6. Market Dynamics

6.1 Growth Driver
6.1.1 Decline in the Cost of Solar Power
6.1.2 Surging Demand for Electrification in Society
6.1.3 Higher and More Volatile Electricity Prices
6.1.4 Increased Support from Government

6.2 Challenges
6.2.1 Value-chain Disruption

6.3 Market Trends
6.3.1 Use of Artificial Intelligence
6.3.2 Short Payback Time for Residential Solar in Europe
6.3.3 European Solar Rooftops Initiative
6.3.4 National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs)

7. Competitive Landscape

7.1 European Residential Solar Market Players: Product Comparison
7.2 European Residential Solar Market Players: Payment Model Comparison
7.3 European Residential Solar Market Players: Business Model Comparison

8. Company Profiles

8.1 Otovo ASA
8.1.1 Business Overview
8.1.2 Operating Segments
8.1.3 Business Strategy

8.2 Engie SA (Sungevity Europe)
8.2.1 Business Overview
8.2.2 Operating Segment
8.2.3 Business Strategy

8.3 Columbus Energy SA
8.3.1 Business Overview
8.3.2 Business Strategy

8.4 Zonneplan
8.4.1 Business Overview
8.4.2 Business Strategy

8.5 Enpal GmbH
8.5.1 Business Overview
8.5.2 Business Strategy

8.6 SolarNRG
8.6.1 Business Overview
8.6.2 Business Strategy

8.7 AutoBinck Group (Zelfstroom)
8.7.1 Business Overview
8.7.2 Business Strategy

8.8 Svea Solar
8.8.1 Business Overview
8.8.2 Business Strategy

8.9 Zolar Gmbh
8.9.1 Business Overview
8.9.2 Business Strategy

8.10 DZ-4 GmbH
8.10.1 Business Overview
8.10.2 Business Strategy

8.11 Victron Energy
8.11.1 Business Overview
8.11.2 Business Strategy

8.12 Hanwha Group (Hanwha Qcells)
8.12.1 Business Overview
8.12.2 Business Strategy

8.13 Luxor Solar GmbH
8.13.1 Business Overview
8.13.2 Business Strategy

8.14 Koolen Industries (BonGo Solar)
8.14.1 Business Overview

List of Figures

Figure 1: Essential Elements of Residential Solar System
Figure 2: Components of Residential Solar System
Figure 3: European Solar PV Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2017-2021 (GW)
Figure 4: European Solar PV Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2022-2027 (GW)
Figure 5: European Solar PV Market by Solar Capacity Per Capita; 2019 & 2021 (Watt/ Capita)
Figure 6: EU Countries Solar PV Market by Penetration; 2019-2021 (Percentage, %)
Figure 7: EU Countries Solar PV Market by Penetration; 2022-2027 (Percentage, %)
Figure 8: European Solar PV Market Accumulated Capacity by Segment; 2021 (Percentage, %)
Figure 9: European Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation; 2017-2021 (Million)
Figure 10: European Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation; 2022-2027 (Million)
Figure 11: European Residential Solar Market Accumulated Installation by Region; 2021 (Percentage, %)
Figure 12: European Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2017-2021 (GW)
Figure 13: European Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2022-2027 (GW)
Figure 14: European Residential Solar Market Accumulated Capacity by Region; 2021 (Percentage, %)
Figure 15: Germany Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation; 2017-2021 (Million)
Figure 16: Germany Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation; 2022-2027 (Million)
Figure 17: Germany Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2017-2021 (GW)
Figure 18: Germany Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2022-2027 (GW)
Figure 19: Netherlands Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation; 2017-2021 (Thousand)
Figure 20: Netherlands Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation; 2022-2027 (Million)
Figure 21: Netherlands Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2017-2021 (GW)
Figure 22: Netherlands Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2022-2027 (GW)
Figure 23: Poland Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation; 2017-2021 (Thousand)
Figure 24: Poland Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation; 2022-2027 (Million)
Figure 25: Poland Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2017-2021 (GW)
Figure 26: Poland Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2022-2027 (GW)
Figure 27: Spain Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation; 2017-2021 (Thousand)
Figure 28: Spain Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation; 2022-2027 (Thousand)
Figure 29: Spain Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2017-2021 (MW)
Figure 30: Spain Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2022-2027 (GW)
Figure 31: Italy Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2017-2021 (GW)
Figure 32: Italy Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2022-2027 (GW)
Figure 33: UK Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2017-2021 (GW)
Figure 34: UK Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2022-2027 (GW)
Figure 35: Belgium Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2017-2021 (GW)
Figure 36: Belgium Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2022-2027 (GW)
Figure 37: Sweden Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2017-2021 (MW)
Figure 38: Sweden Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2022-2027 (GW)
Figure 39: Rest of Europe Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation; 2017-2021 (Million)
Figure 40: Rest of Europe Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Installation; 2022-2027 (Million)
Figure 41: Rest of Europe Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2017-2021 (GW)
Figure 42: Rest of Europe Residential Solar Market by Accumulated Capacity; 2022-2027 (GW)
Figure 43: Selected European Solar PV Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE); 2020-2050 (US$/MWh)
Figure 44: Europe Electric Car Stock, 2017-2021 (Million)
Figure 45: European Union-27 Household Electricity Price Index; 2017–2022 (Price Index)
Figure 46: Otovo ASA Revenue by Operating Segment; 2021 (Percentage, %)
Figure 47: Engie SA Total Revenues by Operating Segment; 2021 (Percentage, %)
Table 1: Framework for Residential Solar in Selected European Countries
Table 2: Expected National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) Solar Target Achievement
Table 3: European Residential Solar Market Players: Product Comparison
Table 4: European Residential Solar Market Players: Payment Model Comparison
Table 5: European Residential Solar Market Players: Business Model Comparison


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